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Tropical Storm Arthur Update

artjuly3
For the latest updates on Tropical Storm Arthur and weather click here

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
500 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014

...ARTHUR LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...WEATHER RAPIDLY DETERIORATING OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.1N 66.9W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NANTUCKET...AND FOR CAPE COD FROM
PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST. ARTHUR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR
WILL BE CROSSING NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND
ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER. YARTMOUTH IN WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA RECENTLY REPORT A
WIND GUST TO 46 MPH...74 KM/H.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING
AREA IN CANADA SOON AND SPREAD NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. IN ADDITION...
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MAINE TODAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVERTAKING THE CIRCULATION OF
ARTHUR.

STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD
TODAY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER FAR EASTERN MAINE...WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA...AND NEW
BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. SWELLS ARE ALSO
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. THESE SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.



SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 78.7W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* PAMLICO SOUND
* EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. ANY DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE
LEFT...OR AN INCREASE IN THE FORECAST SIZE OF ARTHUR WOULD LIKELY
REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ALL OR PART OF THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING
AREA...PRIMARILY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED BY HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA DOPPLER RADARS NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.

DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80
MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD IN
THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE
GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...2 TO 4 FT
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...1 TO 3 FT
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 2 FT

THE HIGHEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE
SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
THE NEW EXPERIMENTAL POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FLOODING MAP FOR MORE
DETAILS.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL AREAS OF
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE
EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH CAROLINA. THESE
SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
arthur

Here is NOAA’s latest report for Charleston, SC:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
200 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS ARTHUR CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM POSITION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT OFFERS GUIDANCE AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR
MARINERS...AS WELL AS OTHER MARINE INTERESTS...ALONG ALL COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4N...LONGITUDE 79.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR...CURRENTLY LOCATED 100 MILES EAST OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA...IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS
IT MOVES NORTH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. IT WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE
LOCAL AREA ON THURSDAY BEFORE ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST
THURSDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL
NEWS OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND WEATHER
FORECASTS.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ350-030200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
200 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS
TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT TONIGHT...THEN 25
TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 40 KT ON THURSDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD
TO 6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT AND 8 TO 10 FEET ON THURSDAY. CONDITIONS
WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE THURSDAY NIGHT AS ARTHUR PULLS AWAY FROM THE
AREA.

The first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season formed Tuesday off Florida, according to the National Hurricane Center. Tropical Depression 1 formed late Monday night as it crawled off Florida’s east coast at 2 mph. The National Hurricane Center’s track shows the storm near North Carolina’s Outer Banks around 2 a.m. Friday as Hurricane Arthur. At 8 a.m. Tuesday, the system was nearly stationary, with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. At around 9 a.m., it was located about 95 miles southeast of Cape Canaveral. A tropical storm watch has been issued for the east-central Florida coast, from Fort Pierce to just south of Flagler Beach. The storm is forecast to meander off the coast for a couple of days before moving north/northeast as a developing tropical cyclone. Tropical Storm Arthur is expected to pass northeastern Florida by Wednesday night and is on track to approach the Carolinas by Thursday night. showtime

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